"El" -- US Senate Race at a Glance

This page contains the latest output from the SanityIID Senate model, "El".

The expected number of Democratic seats in the next Senate. These seats are calculated using a probabilistic distribution counting the "battleground" seats.

Probabilistic output:

Deterministic output is calculated by assuming that the leader in each "battleground" state will actually win the election. If the race is too close, El places the state in a tie.

Deterministic Totals:

Deterministic output by state.
(Republican Win = 1, Democratic Win = 0):

The absolute, deterministic chances of winning each state in the "battleground".

Probability by State:

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