The expected number of Democratic seats in the next Senate. These seats are calculated using a probabilistic distribution counting the "battleground" seats.
Deterministic output is calculated by assuming that the leader in each "battleground" state will actually win the election. If the race is too close, El places the state in a tie.
Deterministic output by state.
(Republican Win = 1, Democratic Win = 0):
The absolute, deterministic chances of winning each state in the "battleground".
Probability by State: