It's
never too soon to start paying attention to the elections that are
just around the corner. There are already politicians jockeying for
position at the top of the Republican ticket. There are actually many
different prospects at this point since it is possible that anyone
can catch the public's imagination. And it is the ability to catch
the public's imagination that is, arguably, the most important thing
for a politician at this point in the race.
One of
the things necessary is to be able to convince the money men of the
party that they are able to deliver the votes. It is only after they
demonstrate that they can deliver the votes that they will be
rewarded with the contributions that will help them run their
campaigns.
So
yes, it is essentially a popularity contest at this point.
The
first person on my list is Marco Rubio (see
his profile on Wikipedia). He was selected to give the
Republicans' response to the State of the Union address by President
Obama. While we may never know the exact reasons why he was chosen,
he is being tested as the new face of the Republican party. Nate
Silver at 538 (New York Times) has even written a piece about him
judging some of his initial positions.
So how
does he shape up? Pretty well at this point. He has descent name
recognition for this stage of the game. He is also Hispanic with an
immigration plan. Since the thinking of the Republican party after
the last election was that they lost, at least partially, because of
a lack of Latinos willing to vote for them; putting forward a Latino
with a plan for fixing what is assumed to be the Latinos' biggest
problem seems to be a reasonable strategy.
Marco
Rubio will be one of the politicians I watch to see whether he can
catch a wave of public support or whether he is more of a flash in
the pan on the way to a different nominee.
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